Showing posts with label sovereign wealth fund. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sovereign wealth fund. Show all posts

Monday, October 29, 2012

Sovereign-wealth fund to speed up government programs


Written by Lito U. Gagni / Special to the BusinessMirror

(Conclusion)
The rationale for a Philippine wealth fund can be found in the host of Asian and other countries that have established their own sovereign-wealth funds (SWFs) just to induce economic growth. A rise in the level of economic activity, after all, induces a ripple of benefits that range from increased income to higher government revenues, exemplified by higher tax collections.
Vietnam conceptualized its own SWF on June 20, 2005, after its own reserve level rose. It started its own fund in August of the    following year and called it the Vietnam State Capital Investment Corp. (SCIC).
SCIC’s primary objectives are to facilitate reforms of state-owned enterprises and improve efficiency of the state capital utilization.  It was mandated to represent state capital interest in various types of business areas, including financial services, energy, manufacturing, telecoms, construction, transportation, consumer products, health care and information technology.
It has since contributed capital to various ventures and agreed in the equitization, or the reverse of privatization, of other enterprises.
This Vietnam model can serve as the Philippines’s own as the Aquino administration puts up a buffer fund that would contribute to the pursuit of public-private partnership projects.
There is, however, a legal hurdle that the Aquino administration would have to contend with as the present Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) charter frowns on constituting such a wealth fund as what other sovereign nations have done.
This, though, is easy to deal with, as Mr. Aquino appears to have a firm grip on both chambers of Congress, which can then allow the BSP, through legislation, to amend its charter. The members of Congress, we are sure, would not do anything to defer the advancement of the country’s economy and what better way to show this than by approving posthaste the first hint of the BSP that it wants to change its charter to enable it to put up a sovereign-wealth fund.
The putting up of such a fund as soon as possible would be very timely. The recent signing of a framework agreement for the cause of lasting peace in Mindanao would need economic activities that could only be realized with the government having its own sovereign-wealth fund. By way of explanation, if the government has its own SWF, it need no longer suffer the consequences of agreeing to a disastrously high investment return as in the case of the MRT 3 project. That private endeavor, not too many may know, resulted in the punching of a huge hole in the government’s deficit levels as the ridership was not enough to pay for the costs of maintaining the line and assuring the 15-percent return.
The SWF acts as a buffer fund of sorts to insulate Filipinos from the consequences of lower allocations for government services, as the money intended for such, like the construction of schoolbuildings and new roads, is diverted to the MRT proponents.
Outside of Vietnam, the other Asian countries that have their own SWFs are Malaysia with its Khazana Nasional, New Zealand with its Super Annuation Fund, Singapore (Temasek Holdings), Indonesia (Government Investment Unit), China with its three SWFs, namely, the China National Security Fund, China Investment Corp. and China’s Africa Development Fund; Brunei with its Investment Agency and Australia with its Future Fund.
According to the influential Sovereign Wealth Fund Institute,  which charts the course of SWFs all over the world, there has been a shift from the “traditional reserve management to sovereign-wealth management.”
The institute said, “Many central banks possess reserves massively in excess of needs for liquidity or foreign-exchange management.”
Studies done by the BusinessMirror show that the BSP can apportion $20 billion as a start-up fund and still leave more elbow room for the monetary authority to flex its muscles in making sure that inflation does not rear its ugly head, its very reason for being.
After all, the start-up fund amounts to just a little over a year of remittances from the army of talented Filipinos.
The BusinessMirror extrapolations show that the remittances had an average growth of 14.2 percent in the last six years owing to a diversity of skills and destinations. In 2010 the record high of $18.8 billion in remittances accounted for 10 percent of the country’s gross domestic product. 
With a Philippine wealth fund, the overseas Filipino workers would be indirect participants in a government push to achieve double-digit growth. That alone would give the OFWs the added pat on the shoulder that they richly deserve.
Indeed, many bankers I talked to agree that the anti-corruption agenda of Mr. Aquino and the growth that the country is experiencing relative to the downturn in other economies, as well as the push for infrastructure projects, would have an added dimension when the Philippine wealth fund is established.



Time ripe for sovereign wealth fund


Written by Lito U. Gagni / Special to the BusinessMirror

First of two parts
Iless than a decade, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) saw its gross international reserves (GIR) surge from $15.02 billion as of end-2002 to $80.1 billion as of end-September 2012—with the country’s unsung heroes, the overseas Filipino  workers, steadily increasing their remittances.
This fivefold rise in the GIR, with three months to spare, has resulted in a very comfortable margin of safety for the BSP’s reserve-management push, since the end-September GIR already account for more than a year of imports.
Usually, a country’s reserve level should be able to finance three months of imports. For prudent levels, a central bank’s reserves of six months are seen as enough buffer for any financial hiccup that could hit the country.
Continued streaming of and expected yearly rise in the remittances from the OFWs have been fueled not just by an increase in the number of workers but also by a dramatic shift in the kind of talents employed.
This marked change in the jobs of the country’s  OFWs from household services to technical ones in information technology, hotel management, engineering  and oil drilling that account for more than half of our overseas workers has given rise to suggestions that the country put up its own sovereign-wealth fund (SWF) from the GIR.
One senior banker told the BusinessMirror that time is ripe for the Philippines to have its own country fund with the seed money coming from the BSP. The banker said the country could initially have $20 billion as start-up fund.
A $20-billion sovereign-wealth fund would mean that the country could still have a $60-billion reserve level, which is more than enough to finance 10 months of imports—well above the prudent level of six months of imports.
It could be used for some of the so-called PPP (public-private partnership) projects that the government has identified to jumpstart the economy. More than 15 PPP projects are on the pipeline and ready for bidding from foreign investors from China to Australia and Thailand to the United Kingdom.
With ready government funding from the SWF, foreign investors are immediately assured that the projects could be pursued with no need for those government guarantees that usually mean higher costs to be borne by Filipino taxpayers, such as the Metro Rail Transit system, which meant a 15-percent guaranteed return for  investors resulting in a subsidy so huge that the government had to bear the burden of added costs.
With its own sovereign-wealth fund, the government need no longer have to worry about guaranteeing unconscionably high-investment returns for investors. It would also mean the added advantage of making the government earn a bit more as a partner in PPP projects.
The buzz for an SWF for the country started with the continued surge in remittances that now average $1.5 billion a month.
The BSP data showed that it took seven years for the reserve level to double from $15.06 billion as of end-2000 to $33.75 billion in end 2007.
But it took just half that time for the reserve level to double again to $67.78 billion as of end-April this year.
The reserves topped $40 billion in July 2009, and raced to $53.75 billion in September 2010. Two months hence, the BSP reserves would hit $60.56 billion.
The need for the Philippines to have its own SWF is premised on the use of the excess reserves to fund economic activities that would result in substantial economic growth. One such activity could involve financing a new roadway that would  open up economic opportunities in Bangsa-moro, the territory that the country’s Muslim minority got under a recently signed peace agreement between the Aquino administration and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF). This roadway and other possible projects would catapult the Mindanao region in the Philippine South to economic pre-eminence fueled, no doubt, by peace dividends that would accrue as a result of the signing of the PHL-MILF agreement.


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