Showing posts with label investments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label investments. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Time to act more like a President, Aquino urged



By 


 39 30
It’s time to act more like a President and less like P-Noy (President Aquino’s nickname).
According to consultant Peter Wallace, head of The Wallace Business Forum, President Aquino deserves high marks for his administration’s consistent fight against graft and corruption that has enhanced business confidence and made him a highly popular leader.
But much more needs to be done if the Philippines is to break through the poverty trap, and unfortunately, Mr. Aquino does not seem committed and enthusiastic enough to see these needed reforms through, putting his considerable political capital to waste, Wallace said.
According to Wallace, Mr. Aquino’s consistently high net satisfaction rating—at 68 percent as of end-August, according to the Social Weather Stations—has made him a very popular figure, and that popularity translates into coveted political capital.
“President Aquino can use that political capital to make tough, unpopular decisions. Why doesn’t he?” Wallace said at yesterday’s meeting to mark the business forum’s 30th anniversary.
Not enough
Wallace said during his presentation to business and government leaders that Mr. Aquino should realize that leadership was a full-time job, not just from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m.
“It is time for him to do two jobs. He is the President, not P-Noy,” Wallace said.
According to the group’s latest Quarterly Perception Survey, while 68 percent of respondents eformssaid the President was doing a good/excellent job and that he was making tough decisions needed for reforms, 41.7 percent said the efforts “were not enough.”
There were also respondents who said the President was only giving  a “moderate effort” to support business and only “somewhat” aggressive in pushing for reforms needed to improve business conditions.
Wallace recommended that Mr. Aquino exercise his considerable political will to  get vital infrastructure built; spend the money the budget department had disbursed to spur economic growth; resolve the open-pit mining ban that had put a damper on mining activity; and upgrade the air safety ranking of the Philippines.
It is also important to quickly resolve the Maguindanao massacre case and other cases of extrajudicial killings.
Record jump
“Except for a couple of changes, the political will to get things done is lacking,” Wallace said.
Wallace, however, said that despite some shortcomings, business confidence and optimism that weren’t there under former President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo were now present and policy changes had taken place.
Bidding for government projects is now more transparent and competitive; handling of government-owned and -controlled corporations has been reformed; the budget for the conditional cash transfer (CCT) program has increased; and pocket open skies has been implemented, allowing airlines to freely land in airports outside Metro Manila.
Wallace also cited the improvement in the ranking of the Philippines in the Global Competitiveness Report of the World Economic Forum by 22 places since 2009; an improvement in the ranking of the Corruption Perception Index; the record jump in the stock exchange composite index by 64 percent from the time Aquino came to power; credit rating upgrades; the increase in tourist arrivals; and an increase in rice output.
Trickle of investments
Improvements in the business environment, however, have been found wanting. The Philippines does not rank high in  ease of starting a business, global perceptions and trade logistics.
“It is business that is not getting the attention needed,” said Wallace.
This is reflected in part in the trickle of foreign direct investment (FDI). The Philippines so far only recorded $2.3 billion worth of FDI from 2011 to the first half of 2012, compared to
$57.4 billion in Singapore, $27.5 billion in Indonesia and $10.6 billion in Thailand.
Mr. Aquino is doing more reforms on the social front.
Wallace said the successful impeachment of Chief Justice Renato Corona had “strengthened him considerably” and that “could be the beginning of a true cleanup of many other scandals by his many other people.”
Mr. Aquino’s no “wang-wang” policy has also brought about important societal change.
Unsolicited advice
Wallace, however, stressed that sustaining the high approval rating could not be ensured as there were many factors that could bring it down.
These include the rise of hunger and poverty incidence; failure to address unemployment; disappointing implementation of the flagship public-private partnership (PPP) program; failure to address the Mindanao power shortage; and the defeat of administration candidates in the 2013 senatorial elections.
Former President Fidel Ramos, who was the guest of honor at the meeting, offered similar “unsolicited” advice to President Aquino, saying a president should work 25/8 and not just 24/7 because of the demands of the job.
“You have to juggle 10 balls at the same time and make sure that you do not drop any,” the 84-year-old Ramos said. “You have to do multitasking and you have to go down to the grassroots. You also have to market our economy abroad. That is my humble suggestion. At this point, it is take it or leave it.”
Ramos told the Inquirer that Filipinos should rally around Aquino to make sure he succeeded.
“The way I look at it, he is the skipper of our one and only ship, the MV Pilipinas, and we are all on board. So we must help the skipper and the crew,” Ramos said. “First we have to make sure the ship is seaworthy and going in the right direction and then strong enough to compete against other ships.”
Ramos said he would like Mr. Aquino “to act like a skipper and lead by example” as he seemed to be lacking in terms of motivation and commitment.
He said, however, that he was confident and optimistic about the country’s prospects under
Mr. Aquino. “Kaya natin ito! (We can do this),” Ramos said, flashing his familiar thumbs-up sign.

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Bankers’ best investment bets in a low-interest-rate regime


 3 0
MANILA, Philippines—The Philippines is in a unique spot nowadays, with most macroeconomic indicators showing robust growth and positive sentiment in the business community, translating to better confidence all around.
However, this poses an equally unique situation for people who want to see their investments yield better returns. As the economy improves, domestic interest rates come down with declining risk levels associated with lending. At the same time, the push toward lower interest rates is also being driven by record low interest rates in the United States and Europe, as their central banks keep yields low in the hope of revitalizing their economies.
Where then should Filipino investors place their money to best profit from the financial markets, given these circumstances? The Inquirer’s Doris C. Dumlao and Daxim Lucas asked bankers and investment experts for their opinion on where to invest a hypothetical P150,000 in extra cash, and here’s what they said:
Norman Martin Reyes
SVP and head of marketing group
United Coconut Planters Bank (UCPB)
“Right now time deposits rates are not too attractive.
“If you have P150,000, you might want to look at UCPB’s trust banking products. With as low as P10,000, an investor can consider our various Unit Investment Trust Funds (UITF). Depending on the investor’s risk appetite, we can recommend either the United Equity Fund (UEF) or the United Balance Fund (UBF).
“The UEF is suitable for an aggressive type of investor with a long-term investment horizon. To achieve long-term capital growth, this fund invests in domestic, listed equities. This fund’s absolute year-to-date net yield is 16.79 percent. Our compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for the last three years is 46.5 percent.
“The UBF is suitable for moderately aggressive type of investors. To achieve a balance between long-term capital appreciation and income growth, this fund invests in a mix of domestic, listed equities and fixed income securities. The absolute year-to-date net yield of this fund is 11.36 percent. Our CAGR for the last three years is 27.2 percent.

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“We have two other funds that invest in fixed rate securities, namely the United Conservative Fund (UCF) and the United Cash Management fund (UCMF). These funds are less risky and they offer steady income streams but the returns are not as high as the other funds.
“One word of caution though: the UITF is not a deposit account and not insured by Philippine Deposit Insurance Corp. Any reduction in income or principal due to prevailing market conditions is for the account of the investor. Historical performance, when presented, is purely for reference purposes and is not a guarantee for similar future return.
“We also have other investment outlets. For P50,000, we can offer investors our services to purchase UCPB’s LTNCD from the secondary market, which can earn about 5.75 percent based on the present market rate. UCPB’s long-term negotiable certificates of deposit (LTNCD) pay interest quarterly and have a maturity of three to five years. We can also act as a broker and offer corporate bonds on the secondary market at rates better than the prevailing time deposit rates. Interest payouts depend on each bond offering.”
Pascual Garcia III
President
Philippine Savings Bank
“I would suggest mutual fund weighted to equities. Bond funds won’t do well next year. I think interest rates will move a bit higher so bonds won’t do well. Easing will essentially taper off locally and globally.”
Marvin Fausto
Chief investment officer
Banco de Oro Unibank

“Because of the people’s generally busy schedule, I recommend that they choose from the existing UITFs available in the banks, particularly BDO.
“They are professionally managed and offer better returns given the commensurate amount of risk one is willing to take. For the conservative investors, I recommend the Peso Money Market Fund—the fund is very stable and offers better returns compared with the ordinary time deposit.
“For the balanced investors, I recommend the Balance Fund that offers a good mix of investments in fixed income and equities, and for the more aggressive investors, I recommend the Equity Fund so they can participate in the strong long term performance of the Philippine stock market.
“UITFs have, in the past, outperformed comparative investments and are specifically designed to benefit investors over the long term. For P150,000, I believe the UITF is the best investment for you.”
Ma. Theresa Marcial-Javier
Senior VP/head of asset management and trust group
Bank of the Philippine Islands

“Invest in the Philippines. Put P50,000 in a growth-oriented peso equity fund that is positioned in cyclical bets that will benefit from the following investment themes—infrastructure spending, consumer spending, banking and credit cycle upturn.
“Put the next P50,000 in a long-duration peso bond fund as interest rates will continue to stay low for a while.
“Put the remaining P50,000 in a short-term fixed-income fund to provide for unforeseen liquidity requirements as well as a stable income source to protect the portfolio from market swings.”
Wick Veloso
Chief executive officer
HSBC
“Select common share equities with a good revenue story or potential significant growth business plan. Otherwise, go for preferred shares instruments (with good dividend paying history) like the SMC Preferred Shares for a good dividend return. Just go either way.
“Deposits, government bonds and other corporate fixed-income instruments offer very unattractive returns compared to the above mentioned investment opportunities.”
Gina Morales
Executive vice president
Philam Asset Management Inc. (PAMI)
“We believe that the Philippine equity market will continue its winning streak for the next three years as the country’s fundamentals are sustainable, with corporate earnings of listed companies expected to grow  as well. With this my recommendation is to invest over the long term in any of PAMI equity-laced funds, namely the Strategic Growth Fund, Philam Fund Inc. and GSIS Mutual Fund Inc., depending on their risk tolerance. These funds are actively managed and have outperformed the index and their peers, and have remained in the top 1 and 2 as compared to other equity funds in the market.
“Also our investment process remains to be our key differentiator versus other fund providers as seen from our consistent track record of performance and having to stay on top of the league tables. We encourage to start investing their hard-earned money in the Philippines given strong long-term growth prospects.
Overall mutual funds are still the investment structure of choice. It  fits every retail investor’s needs of starting with something small and bringing the most benefit of generating maximum returns through diversified portfolio which is actively managed by expert fund managers.

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Avail of the opportunity to own a condominium unit in Cebu City at the low amount of only P 9,333.33 and House and Lot @ P 7,306.81/month only. Hurry while supply of units still last. Just call the Tel. Nos. shown herein: (053)555-84-64/09164422611/09173373687.


Saturday, November 3, 2012

Peso seen to hit 30:$1 next year


By Prinz P. Magtulis (The Philippine Star)


CEBU, Philippines -  The peso could strengthen to the 30-level against the dollar next year as investors continue to flood emerging markets regardless of the outcome of the US elections on Tuesday, aninvestment bank said.
In its latest research note, Bank of America-Merrill Lynch (BofA) said it expects the peso to average 41 to a dollar by the first quarter of 2013, before appreciating further to 39.80 for the rest of the year.

BofA’s forecasts are stronger than the government’s official assumption of 42-45 next year. The peso closed at 41.18 on Wednesday, the last trading day before the holidays.

A strong peso, while making imports cheaper, also makes export products expensive abroad, possibly denting demand. It also trims the value of remittances from overseas Filipinos.

“In our view, there is still further upside to EMFX (emerging market foreign exchange) in the near term. PMI data has been decent for September following the US Fed meeting, and we think investors will continue to push currencies higher as they await further confirmation of improved activity,” BofA explained.

The US, considered as investors’ safe haven, has been struggling to boost growth four years after the global financial crisis. Its central bank, the US Federal Reserve, said on September it is embarking on a third round of bond-buying program meant to flood the economy with cash to boost demand and growth.

The Fed announcement came after US manufacturing activity hit 51.5 in the purchasing managers’ index (PMI) in September, similar from August. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.

A strong US manufacturing performance signals economic recovery for the world superpower and thus, should drive investors to invest in risky assets such as the peso.
The outcome of the US elections will also only have “neutral” effect to emerging market currencies like the peso, which BofA expects to trade at an average of 42 this quarter.

“Market pricing of an Obama victory is mild USD (US dollar) negative. (Mitt) Romney victory, USD positive,” it said.

This indicated that the market may view a re-election of US President Barack Obama positively, giving them confidence to acquire risky assets and thus lowering the dollar’s value. In contrast, a Romney victory is predicted to drive investors to safe havens like the dollar, contributing to its appreciation.

“Both a Romney win and Great Rotation pose upside risks to US rates. Historical evidence suggests this would be bearish for EM rates but neutral for EMFX overall – though with significant differentiation within it,” BofA said.
In an effort to tame the peso’s appreciation, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) slashed its policy rates by another 25 basis points last Oct. 25, bringing them to new record-lows of 3.5 percent and 5.5 percent for overnight borrowing and lending, respectively.

BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. said last Monday the central bank is looking at using its macroprudential measures to managecapital flows which drive the peso to strengthen. These measures include tweaking the bank reserve requirements, real estate exposure ceilings and single borrower’s limit, among others.






Tuesday, August 28, 2012

How OFWs can grow their money back home




By Mike Aquino for Yahoo! Southeast Asia

If you’re an OFW, you enjoy our most heartfelt gratitude: your remittances help support the Philippine economy in the global downturn, with inflows reaching record highs of $20.117 billion in 2011, as reported by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). But what happens to all that money when it hits our shores? If you’re wondering what else to do with your income after you’ve paid your kids’ tuition fees and built your house… where can you invest the rest?

With the Philippine economy on an apparent upswing, the opportunities for profit have also multiplied. Where you put your money depends on your appetite for risk and desire for return. Francisco J. Colayco, in his book Pera Mo, Palaguin Mo! suggests three factors that need to be evaluated prior to writing that check:

Appetite for risk: How safe—or how risky—is the investment? What are the risks that come with it? Colayco asks that you evaluate if “the financial return or income [is] commensurate to the risk [you are] taking,” while keeping in mind that the risks are not always financial.

“Sometimes it is not only money you are putting at risk,” Colayco reminds his readers. “It may also include family relations, reputation, your job security and other personal, professional relationships.”

Liquidity: 
“How long will my money be tied up?” Colayco suggests you ask. “May I withdraw anytime and convert it back to cash?”

Potential Yield:
 Is the advertised return on the investment higher than prevailing inflation rates?

You can take advantage of a wide variety of investment opportunities in the Philippines that offer the right mix of these three factors. These opportunities also have varying barriers to entry—mutual funds, for instance, may only require an initial minimum investment of about P5,000, while investments in medium-scale businesses or property may require that you sink in millions of pesos.

Let’s start with government securities, stocks and mutual funds. These short-term investments are good choices for investors with relatively modest sums to invest. Government securities are debt investments, i.e. you literally lend money to the government. Stocks represent units of ownership in companies, i.e. you buy a piece of a company. Mutual funds are collective investment schemes that trade in both government securities, stocks, and other securities.

You can buy government securities at any of the thirty-odd authorized government securities dealers (GSEDs) listed in the Bureau of Treasury. Banks and other financial concerns also offer a variety of mutual funds with varying degrees of risk and return. To get the most out of your investment, you’ll need to shop around for the right product.

It helps to ask the right people; personal finance blogger Fitz Villafuerte refers all such questions to his broker. “I always tell them, I’m not a stock market expert, so I’m not going to give you stock market advice. Go to Citisec online, they’re my stockbroker, and they offer free stock market investing seminars.”

Investing in businesses requires greater amounts of capital, know-how, and appetite for risk. Entrepreneurship carries with it a large potential for failure—“for the majority who are not truly prepared, their attempt to go into business, more likely, will fail,” says Colayco. For starter entrepreneurs, Colayco suggests buying a franchise instead.

“The advantage of getting a franchise is you minimize the risks involved in doing business,” explains Colayco. “[It’s] also one of the best ways to learn how to manage or run a particular business. When you buy a franchise you are also buying the opportunity to learn the whole business process, from sourcing of supplies to managing inventory and handling people, among other things.”

For starter tips on buying a franchise, read "Questions to ask before buying a red-hot franchise
Investing in property requires the largest amounts of capital, and is the least liquid option among the ones listed here. “Look at your house as a good short-term investment only if you are able to buy it below the market value,” writes Armando Ang, author of Tips and Traps when Buying or Building a Home. “If you buy at the market rate, then your costs of buying and selling will almost always end in a loss on the deal.”
Investment in property has one shining upside: its value tends to appreciate over time. “It is a passive investment that increases in value by allowing market forces to work for you without sweat,” says Ang. “It’s a tangible asset that can grow in value as time passes by. It also serves both for shelter and an investment for future generations.”
Published n Yahoo Philippines


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